About Base Demand Forecast Index
The Base Forecast Index is mandatory for any field targeted for use in demand forecasting. This value, a floating point number between 1 and 10, is a measure of how the total and density for that field affects demand for transit.
An example is vehicle ownership. For example, if there were more vehicles per household, there will be less demand for public transit. Households without a vehicle would have a base index of 10, that is, the residents would be more likely to use transit. Conversely, households with two vehicles would have a low base index (for example, 1 or 0), that is, the residents would be unlikely to use transit.
| Field Name | Description | Base Demand Forecast Index |
|---|---|---|
|
NOVEHICL |
Households with no vehicle | 10 |
| VEHICL_1 | Households with one vehicle | 6 |
| VEHICL_2 | Households with two vehicles | 2 |
| VEHICHG2 | Households with greater than 2 vehicles | 0 |
Types of Demand Forecast
The two types of demand forecast are based on total and density. The demand forecast based on total is calculated by multiplying the Demand Forecast Index times the total for a particular field. The demand forecast based on density is calculated by multiplying the density of a particular field times the Demand Forecast Index for that field and is more relevant for most analyses.
| Field Name | BDF* | Total | Per Square Mile | DF** (Total) | DF** (Density) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
NOVEHICL |
10 | 2000 | 481 | 20000 | 4810 |
| VEHICL_1 | 6 | 3000 | 721 | 18000 | 4326 |
| VEHICL_2 | 2 | 1000 | 240 | 2000 | 480 |
| Totals | 40000 | 9616 | |||
* - Base Demand Forecast
** - Demand Forecast